Climate change, crime and security

Climate change is one of the biggest threats facing humanity. There are already some significant interactions between climate change, crime and security; and there will surely be many more. Few, if any, of these interactions will be beneficial.

This page presents early thinking on the systematic mapping out of these interactions, in both directions. It is located under the crime and security futures pages, but climate change, its effects and attempts to mitigate it are very much here with us now.

The only thing that we can be sure of is that criminals and terrorists will eagerly exploit disruptions and exacerbate problems. These interactions will be significant, whether they concern disaster fraud, looting in storms, adverse childhood events, intergroup conflict resulting from forced migration, or fraudulent carbon-capture services.

It is important to consider not just the effects of climate change on crime and security, but the converse: how crime and security might affect climate change and attempts to mitigate and adapt to it.