
The Conjunction of Terrorist Opportunity (CTO) is an offshoot of the Conjunction of Criminal Opportunity framework. It was prompted by Jason Roach and co-developed with him and a practitioner, Richard Flynn.
The CTO framework aims to provide a ‘one-stop-shop’ for thinking about the range of immediate causes of terrorist events (and how these in turn are caused by more distant influences), and the counterpart range of interventions.
The main modification of the CTO from the original Conjunction of Criminal Opportunity framework is to divide the target of crime into target vectors (the people or assets attacked in order to deliver the message) and target audience (the government, population etc whom the terrorists seek to influence).
A 2005 article (with Jason Roach and Richard Flynn) explores how the standard Conjunction of Criminal Opportunity framework could be adapted to understand/analyse the causes of terrorist events and describe broad kinds of intervention. The above diagram was created for this article.
A presentation introduces the CTO framework:
Insights from the CTO framework have been incorporated in the terrorism toolkits described here.